Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Jarnkrok 51.1% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 66.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 88.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 75.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Kempe
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kempe
Jarnkrok
Last 5: Kempe 3-2 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
1
Kempe
Jarnkrok
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
1
Kempe
Jarnkrok
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
52.8% (398)
-14.7%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
66.7% (12)
-24.6%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Kempe is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Kempe shoots left. Jarnkrok is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Kempe
Jarnkrok
Home
39.1% (312)
52.7% (241)
Away
38.0% (371)
50.0% (278)
By Period
Kempe
Jarnkrok
P1
39.4%
49.4%
P2
37.7%
51.7%
P3
39.0%
51.9%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
30.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |