Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Cizikas 51.9% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 97.1%
Defensive zone
Kempe 82.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 92.4%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Kempe
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Kempe
Cizikas
Last 8: Kempe 0-8 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Kempe
Cizikas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
5
Kempe
Cizikas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Kempe
Cizikas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
53.4% (8,946)
-13.2%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
55.4% (177)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
44.4% (1,895)
-1.8%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Cizikas is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,154).
Home / Away
Kempe
Cizikas
Home
42.4% (1,045)
53.7% (5,498)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
50.1% (5,521)
By Period
Kempe
Cizikas
P1
39.5%
53.0%
P2
40.1%
51.1%
P3
42.2%
51.7%
OT
37.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |