Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Cizikas 52.8% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 97.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 73.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 92.5%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Kempe
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Kempe
Cizikas
Last 6: Kempe 0-6 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Kempe
Cizikas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
3
Kempe
Cizikas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Kempe
Cizikas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
54.5% (685)
-16.4%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
50.0% (8)
-7.9%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Kempe shoots left. Cizikas is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Kempe
Cizikas
Home
39.1% (312)
55.1% (448)
Away
38.0% (371)
51.0% (443)
By Period
Kempe
Cizikas
P1
39.4%
51.7%
P2
37.7%
53.1%
P3
39.0%
54.5%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
30.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |