Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Sissons 55.5% (-20.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 89.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 64.7%
Neutral zone
Kempe 70.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Kempe
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kempe
Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Sissons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
0
3
Kempe
Sissons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
57.0% (428)
-18.8%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
58.8% (17)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
54.2% (118)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Kempe
Sissons
Home
36.4% (66)
52.9% (263)
Away
35.5% (76)
59.7% (300)
By Period
Kempe
Sissons
P1
37.3%
56.3%
P2
36.7%
57.8%
P3
31.4%
55.4%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |