Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Backes 51.2% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 71.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 92.7%
Neutral zone
Backes 84.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 83.1%
16.9%
83.1%
Kempe
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kempe
Backes
Last 7: Kempe 5-2 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Backes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
52.0% (179)
-13.9%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
55.8% (52)
-13.7%
On even strength, Backes has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Kempe is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Kempe shoots left. Backes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Kempe
Backes
Home
39.1% (312)
53.8% (160)
Away
38.0% (371)
47.6% (82)
By Period
Kempe
Backes
P1
39.4%
53.8%
P2
37.7%
58.0%
P3
39.0%
41.4%
Final 5 min
30.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |