Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Desharnais shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 46.2% vs Desharnais 50.9% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 79.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 77.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 78.4%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Kempe
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kempe
Desharnais
Last 9: Kempe 2-7 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
3
Kempe
Desharnais
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Desharnais
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
4
Kempe
Desharnais
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (131)
52.3% (304)
-8.0%
Power Play
30.8% (13)
40.7% (27)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
0.0% (1)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Kempe is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Kempe shoots left. Desharnais is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Kempe
Desharnais
Home
49.6% (113)
52.3% (195)
Away
27.5% (40)
49.6% (137)
By Period
Kempe
Desharnais
P1
43.9%
56.2%
P2
44.0%
46.1%
P3
43.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
37.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
43.8%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |