Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Desharnais shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Desharnais 54.4% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 85.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 68.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 79.6%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Kempe
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kempe
Desharnais
Last 5: Kempe 1-4 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Desharnais
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
1
Kempe
Desharnais
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
2
Kempe
Desharnais
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
54.6% (630)
-16.5%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
58.0% (69)
-15.9%
On even strength, Desharnais has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Kempe shoots left. Desharnais is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Kempe
Desharnais
Home
39.1% (312)
57.1% (340)
Away
38.0% (371)
53.2% (361)
By Period
Kempe
Desharnais
P1
39.4%
50.9%
P2
37.7%
60.0%
P3
39.0%
54.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
30.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |