Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Pettersson 42.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 73.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 54.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 54.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Kempe
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kempe
Pettersson
Last 10: Kempe 4-6 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
5
Kempe
Pettersson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Pettersson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
41.3% (608)
+1.3%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
35.3% (17)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
0.0% (2)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Kempe is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Kempe shoots left. Pettersson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Home / Away
Kempe
Pettersson
Home
43.6% (369)
39.7% (320)
Away
41.6% (370)
42.3% (307)
By Period
Kempe
Pettersson
P1
40.0%
36.9%
P2
44.3%
43.2%
P3
43.6%
43.6%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 10:23 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |