Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Staal 50.6% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 69.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 65.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 68.8%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Kempe
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Kempe
Staal
Last 10: Kempe 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Kempe
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
5
Kempe
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
50.5% (10,347)
-10.3%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
53.5% (2,023)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
44.2% (781)
-1.6%
On power play, Staal has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Kempe
Staal
Home
42.4% (1,045)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Kempe
Staal
P1
39.5%
50.0%
P2
40.1%
51.1%
P3
42.2%
50.4%
OT
37.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
37.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 19, 2018 | OT | 01:31 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |