Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Staal 51.1% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 86.0%
Defensive zone
Kempe 63.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 80.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Kempe
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kempe
Staal
Last 8: Kempe 2-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Kempe
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Kempe
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
51.0% (930)
-12.9%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
54.4% (125)
-12.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kempe is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Kempe shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Kempe
Staal
Home
39.1% (312)
53.5% (561)
Away
38.0% (371)
48.9% (554)
By Period
Kempe
Staal
P1
39.4%
50.1%
P2
37.7%
50.3%
P3
39.0%
53.1%
OT
25.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
30.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2018 | OT | 01:31 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Eric Staal |