Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.1% vs Kempe 40.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 73.0%
Defensive zone
Kempe 67.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 57.1%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Kempe
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kempe
Kempe
Last 9: Kempe 4-5 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Kempe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
1
Kempe
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kempe
Kempe
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (1,865)
38.7% (380)
+1.6%
Power Play
44.3% (201)
33.3% (3)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
31.3% (16)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Kempe has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Kempe is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,341).
Kempe shoots left. Kempe is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Kempe
Kempe
Home
42.6% (1,033)
40.1% (177)
Away
39.0% (1,086)
36.9% (222)
By Period
Kempe
Kempe
P1
39.7%
34.7%
P2
40.2%
40.4%
P3
42.4%
38.8%
OT
37.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
40.7%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |