Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kempe wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Hartman 45.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 77.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 92.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 85.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Kempe
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kempe
Hartman
Last 7: Kempe 6-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
3
1
Kempe
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
45.2% (4,235)
-5.0%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
47.4% (443)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
42.4% (262)
+0.2%
On even strength, Hartman has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Kempe is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Kempe shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Kempe
Hartman
Home
42.4% (1,045)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Kempe
Hartman
P1
39.5%
46.0%
P2
40.1%
42.9%
P3
42.2%
46.8%
OT
37.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
37.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 03:36 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |