Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Hartman 47.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 75.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 90.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 88.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 83.2%
16.8%
83.2%
Kempe
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kempe
Hartman
Last 5: Kempe 4-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
0
Kempe
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
45.8% (190)
-7.7%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
36.4% (11)
+5.7%
On even strength, Hartman has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Kempe is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Kempe shoots left. Hartman is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Kempe
Hartman
Home
39.1% (312)
51.8% (112)
Away
38.0% (371)
38.5% (91)
By Period
Kempe
Hartman
P1
39.4%
44.2%
P2
37.7%
44.1%
P3
39.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
30.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |