Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Bennett 47.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 84.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kempe 82.6%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Kempe
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kempe
Bennett
Last 8: Kempe 1-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Kempe
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Kempe
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
46.8% (5,683)
-6.6%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
53.7% (555)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
41.8% (256)
+0.8%
On power play, Bennett has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Kempe
Bennett
Home
42.4% (1,045)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Kempe
Bennett
P1
39.5%
48.0%
P2
40.1%
46.5%
P3
42.2%
46.9%
OT
37.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
37.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |