Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Gagner 48.1% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 67.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 58.8%
Neutral zone
Kempe 59.4%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Kempe
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kempe
Gagner
Last 10: Kempe 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Kempe
Gagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Kempe
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
47.3% (395)
-9.2%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
50.0% (62)
-7.9%
On even strength, Gagner has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kempe is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Kempe shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Kempe
Gagner
Home
39.1% (312)
49.4% (267)
Away
38.0% (371)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Kempe
Gagner
P1
39.4%
47.5%
P2
37.7%
48.5%
P3
39.0%
48.1%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
30.7%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 12:36 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |