Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-20.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 69.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 65.3%
Neutral zone
Kempe 59.1%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Kempe
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kempe
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Kempe
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
57.8% (626)
-19.6%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
63.6% (151)
-33.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.0% (141)
-19.0%
On power play, Trocheck has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Kempe
Trocheck
Home
36.4% (66)
54.4% (390)
Away
35.5% (76)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Kempe
Trocheck
P1
37.3%
56.4%
P2
36.7%
58.7%
P3
31.4%
54.8%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |