Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Quine 47.2% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Quine 64.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 52.9%
Neutral zone
Quine 58.4%
Result
Alan Quine favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Quine
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Quine
MacKenzie
Last 5: Quine 2-3 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Quine
1
0
Quine
MacKenzie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
3
Quine
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Quine
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (644)
54.9% (3,660)
-7.7%
Power Play
54.5% (33)
55.9% (102)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
46.7% (1,158)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Quine is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Quine shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
Home / Away
Quine
MacKenzie
Home
54.1% (303)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
41.5% (410)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Quine
MacKenzie
P1
45.7%
51.9%
P2
46.3%
53.0%
P3
48.9%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
65.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Quine
42.0%▲
39.5%
46.8%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Alan Quine |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Alan Quine |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |