Adam Henrique vs Aleksander Barkov
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 56.5%). Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Barkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Barkov 56.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 84.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 82.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 59.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Henrique
Barkov
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Henrique
Barkov
Last 5: Henrique 5-0 Barkov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
0
Henrique
Barkov
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Barkov
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
55.5% (704)
+2.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
62.3% (247)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
46.7% (75)
-1.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barkov shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Henrique
Barkov
Home
56.4% (518)
56.4% (550)
Away
54.9% (492)
56.7% (476)
By Period
Henrique
Barkov
P1
56.0%
56.5%
P2
55.2%
55.5%
P3
56.2%
57.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |