Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.3%). Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.3% vs Shaw 53.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 71.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 79.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 56.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Barkov
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Barkov
Shaw
Last 7: Barkov 2-5 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
4
Barkov
Shaw
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Shaw
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
1
Barkov
Shaw
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,326)
51.6% (217)
+3.0%
Power Play
51.4% (222)
61.9% (105)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
0.0% (4)
+47.0%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +47.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Barkov is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Barkov shoots left. Shaw is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Barkov
Shaw
Home
55.3% (816)
55.2% (163)
Away
51.9% (881)
53.4% (163)
By Period
Barkov
Shaw
P1
55.7%
56.7%
P2
53.7%
50.9%
P3
51.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |