Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Flynn shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.5% vs Flynn 48.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 65.4%
Defensive zone
Flynn 57.2%
Neutral zone
Barkov 50.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Barkov
Flynn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Barkov
Flynn
Last 7: Barkov 3-4 Flynn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Flynn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
0
2
Barkov
Flynn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Flynn
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Flynn
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (856)
47.4% (274)
-1.0%
Power Play
45.0% (120)
50.0% (30)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
49.1% (55)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Flynn shoots right. Barkov is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Barkov shoots left. Flynn is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Barkov
Flynn
Home
46.7% (561)
47.4% (211)
Away
45.4% (441)
48.6% (148)
By Period
Barkov
Flynn
P1
46.6%
47.8%
P2
48.5%
51.1%
P3
43.2%
43.4%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |