Aleksander Barkov vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 55.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 69.2%
Neutral zone
Barkov 60.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
2
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
49.1% (3,840)
+3.3%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
51.1% (350)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
45.7% (35)
+2.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
Home
53.8% (7,227)
49.7% (2,194)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
48.6% (2,031)
By Period
Barkov
Kotkaniemi
P1
52.7%
49.8%
P2
53.4%
50.5%
P3
52.9%
47.2%
OT
53.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |