Aleksander Barkov vs Joe Thornton
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.3% vs Thornton 51.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 55.1%
Defensive zone
Barkov 81.2%
Neutral zone
Barkov 50.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Barkov
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Barkov
Thornton
Last 9: Barkov 6-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,326)
52.7% (372)
+1.9%
Power Play
51.4% (222)
47.6% (63)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
60.0% (5)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Barkov is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Barkov shoots left. Thornton is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Barkov
Thornton
Home
55.3% (816)
51.2% (250)
Away
51.9% (881)
53.2% (190)
By Period
Barkov
Thornton
P1
55.7%
56.1%
P2
53.7%
52.8%
P3
51.3%
47.4%
OT
52.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |