Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.3% vs Turris 51.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 74.5%
Defensive zone
Barkov 70.4%
Neutral zone
Turris 53.9%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Barkov
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barkov
Turris
Last 5: Barkov 1-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
4
Barkov
Turris
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,326)
51.1% (799)
+3.5%
Power Play
51.4% (222)
58.1% (62)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
45.5% (11)
+1.5%
On power play, Turris has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Barkov is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Barkov shoots left. Turris is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Barkov
Turris
Home
55.3% (816)
53.5% (507)
Away
51.9% (881)
48.8% (365)
By Period
Barkov
Turris
P1
55.7%
52.8%
P2
53.7%
54.1%
P3
51.3%
47.3%
OT
52.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |