Scouting Report
Leo Komarov holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.5% vs Komarov 49.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 59.9%
Defensive zone
Barkov 54.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 53.6%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Barkov
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barkov
Komarov
Last 5: Barkov 2-3 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
2
Barkov
Komarov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
1
Barkov
Komarov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Komarov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (856)
54.1% (159)
-7.7%
Power Play
45.0% (120)
0.0% (2)
+45.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
29.0% (31)
+13.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Barkov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Barkov shoots left. Komarov is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Barkov
Komarov
Home
46.7% (561)
48.6% (107)
Away
45.4% (441)
50.6% (85)
By Period
Barkov
Komarov
P1
46.6%
44.8%
P2
48.5%
50.0%
P3
43.2%
53.0%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |