Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.8% vs Komarov 46.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Komarov leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 73.0%
Defensive zone
Komarov 69.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 50.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Barkov
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Barkov
Komarov
Last 10: Barkov 5-5 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
0
Barkov
Komarov
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
4
Barkov
Komarov
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
3
Barkov
Komarov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (801)
42.9% (56)
+2.7%
Power Play
52.2% (157)
42.9% (7)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (65)
46.0% (139)
-1.4%
On power play, Barkov has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Barkov is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Barkov shoots left. Komarov is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Barkov
Komarov
Home
45.6% (502)
49.5% (103)
Away
47.4% (521)
40.4% (99)
By Period
Barkov
Komarov
P1
45.9%
49.1%
P2
45.1%
39.0%
P3
47.3%
49.3%
OT
70.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |