Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.5% vs Komarov 47.2% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 66.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 53.3%
Neutral zone
Komarov 57.0%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Barkov
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barkov
Komarov
Last 6: Barkov 2-4 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Komarov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
3
Barkov
Komarov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (1,377)
48.5% (163)
+6.0%
Power Play
54.7% (340)
0.0% (1)
+54.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (222)
25.0% (20)
+22.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Barkov is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,222).
Barkov shoots left. Komarov is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Barkov
Komarov
Home
54.5% (948)
42.9% (84)
Away
52.9% (991)
48.0% (100)
By Period
Barkov
Komarov
P1
55.2%
52.7%
P2
54.2%
48.5%
P3
52.3%
36.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.7%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |