Aleksander Barkov vs Mathew Barzal
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.0% vs Barzal 42.9% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 93.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 73.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 86.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Barkov
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Barkov
Barzal
Last 7: Barkov 6-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
0
Barkov
Barzal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Barkov
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (851)
40.7% (514)
+11.9%
Power Play
60.8% (286)
58.3% (24)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (66)
50.0% (10)
-3.0%
On even strength, Barkov has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Barkov is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Barkov shoots left. Barzal is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Barkov
Barzal
Home
54.4% (653)
43.0% (279)
Away
54.2% (550)
40.1% (269)
By Period
Barkov
Barzal
P1
52.7%
41.2%
P2
57.6%
46.4%
P3
53.2%
37.1%
OT
35.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |