Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.3% vs Stajan 51.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 63.1%
Defensive zone
Stajan 63.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 54.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Barkov
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barkov
Stajan
Last 5: Barkov 2-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Barkov
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,326)
52.2% (395)
+2.4%
Power Play
51.4% (222)
60.0% (5)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
47.6% (82)
-0.6%
On power play, Stajan has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Barkov is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Barkov shoots left. Stajan is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Barkov
Stajan
Home
55.3% (816)
50.8% (238)
Away
51.9% (881)
52.0% (244)
By Period
Barkov
Stajan
P1
55.7%
56.3%
P2
53.7%
48.8%
P3
51.3%
49.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |