Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.4% vs Domi 48.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 52.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 63.1%
Neutral zone
Domi 54.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Barkov
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barkov
Domi
Last 5: Barkov 2-3 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Barkov
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (724)
48.2% (363)
+4.8%
Power Play
62.6% (235)
55.6% (27)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (67)
33.3% (6)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Barkov is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (678).
Barkov shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Barkov
Domi
Home
56.1% (522)
51.5% (227)
Away
53.6% (504)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Barkov
Domi
P1
52.3%
49.2%
P2
56.8%
45.7%
P3
55.3%
51.7%
OT
55.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |