Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.4% vs Koivu 48.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 73.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 64.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 55.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Barkov
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Barkov
Koivu
Last 6: Barkov 3-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (724)
46.0% (63)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (67)
42.9% (7)
+4.9%
On even strength, Barkov has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Barkov is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (678).
Barkov shoots left. Koivu is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Barkov
Koivu
Home
56.1% (522)
46.6% (58)
Away
53.6% (504)
41.7% (12)
By Period
Barkov
Koivu
P1
52.3%
70.0%
P2
56.8%
27.6%
P3
55.3%
47.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:47 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |