Aleksander Barkov vs Patrick Brown
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Brown 54.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 80.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 74.7%
Neutral zone
Brown 58.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Barkov
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Barkov
Brown
Last 5: Barkov 4-1 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
0
Barkov
Brown
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Barkov
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
56.5% (726)
-4.1%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
62.5% (8)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
47.8% (136)
+0.0%
On power play, Brown has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Barkov is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,431).
Barkov shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Barkov
Brown
Home
53.8% (7,227)
57.4% (364)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Barkov
Brown
P1
52.7%
51.4%
P2
53.4%
54.6%
P3
52.9%
58.8%
OT
53.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |