Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.5% vs Oshie 43.9% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 76.6%
Defensive zone
Barkov 75.7%
Neutral zone
Oshie 53.8%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Barkov
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barkov
Oshie
Last 5: Barkov 2-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
3
Barkov
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (1,377)
41.2% (51)
+13.3%
Power Play
54.7% (340)
41.8% (141)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (222)
30.8% (13)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Barkov is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (717).
Barkov shoots left. Oshie is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Barkov
Oshie
Home
54.5% (948)
42.4% (118)
Away
52.9% (991)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Barkov
Oshie
P1
55.2%
39.1%
P2
54.2%
38.0%
P3
52.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |