Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.3% vs Smith 48.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 79.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 86.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 79.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Barkov
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Barkov
Smith
Last 9: Barkov 7-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,326)
49.7% (485)
+4.9%
Power Play
51.4% (222)
46.8% (47)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (149)
38.6% (88)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Barkov is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,079).
Barkov shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Barkov
Smith
Home
55.3% (816)
48.7% (310)
Away
51.9% (881)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Barkov
Smith
P1
55.7%
45.8%
P2
53.7%
47.4%
P3
51.3%
50.5%
OT
52.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |