Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Hemsky wins 33.3% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hemsky 45.9% vs Roy 47.4% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 65.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.6%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Hemsky
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hemsky
Roy
Last 5: Hemsky 3-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hemsky
1
0
Hemsky
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hemsky
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hemsky
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (35)
46.4% (3,031)
-6.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.6% (560)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
46.8% (267)
-46.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Hemsky is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Hemsky shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Home / Away
Hemsky
Roy
Home
50.0% (20)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
28.6% (28)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Hemsky
Roy
P1
42.1%
47.6%
P2
33.3%
46.2%
P3
37.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hemsky
37.5%▬
37.5%
37.5%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ales Hemsky |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ales Hemsky |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Ales Hemsky |