Scouting Report
Ales Hemsky holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hemsky 50.0% vs Roy 46.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hemsky 61.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 74.5%
Neutral zone
Hemsky 55.0%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Hemsky
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hemsky
Roy
Last 5: Hemsky 3-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hemsky
1
0
Hemsky
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hemsky
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hemsky
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (20)
45.3% (506)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.4% (68)
-7.4%
On power play, Roy has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Hemsky is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Hemsky shoots right. Roy is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Hemsky
Roy
Home
50.0% (14)
44.9% (354)
Away
50.0% (10)
46.4% (293)
By Period
Hemsky
Roy
P1
55.6%
47.0%
P2
45.5%
47.2%
P3
50.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
100.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hemsky
37.5%▬
37.5%
50.0%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ales Hemsky |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ales Hemsky |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Ales Hemsky |