Scouting Report
Hunter McKown holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McKown on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Belzile wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — McKown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 48.0% vs McKown 52.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belzile 59.8%
Defensive zone
Belzile 70.9%
Neutral zone
Belzile 58.0%
Result
Alex Belzile favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Belzile
McKown
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Belzile
McKown
Last 6: Belzile 1-5 McKown
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKown
0
1
Belzile
McKown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKown
1
4
Belzile
McKown
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
McKown
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (213)
55.3% (76)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
54.5% (11)
-4.5%
On even strength, McKown has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKown shoots right. Belzile is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Belzile shoots right. McKown is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Belzile
McKown
Home
53.7% (123)
54.0% (50)
Away
39.6% (106)
56.8% (37)
By Period
Belzile
McKown
P1
43.5%
60.7%
P2
47.5%
59.3%
P3
50.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
McKown
46.0%▼
55.2%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Hunter McKown |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Hunter McKown |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Hunter McKown |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Hunter McKown |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Hunter McKown |