Scouting Report
Ryan Callahan holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Chiasson wins 27.6% vs right-shot opponents — Callahan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chiasson 39.8% vs Callahan 45.0% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Chiasson 76.0%
Defensive zone
Callahan 72.9%
Neutral zone
Chiasson 52.0%
Result
Alex Chiasson favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Chiasson
Callahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chiasson
Callahan
Edge
Even Strength
34.3% (213)
45.6% (136)
-11.3%
Power Play
43.1% (72)
54.8% (42)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
33.7% (83)
+2.7%
On power play, Callahan has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Callahan shoots right. Chiasson is 27.6% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Chiasson shoots right. Callahan is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Chiasson
Callahan
Home
36.0% (150)
43.2% (125)
Away
36.9% (157)
43.1% (137)
By Period
Chiasson
Callahan
P1
42.3%
44.0%
P2
33.3%
41.5%
P3
34.5%
42.4%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
35.7%
35.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chiasson
30.0%▼
32.0%
36.5%
Callahan
40.0%▼
44.5%
43.1%