Scouting Report
Alex Galchenyuk holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Galchenyuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.5% vs Galchenyuk 46.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 64.7%
Defensive zone
Galchenyuk 61.1%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 60.5%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Gaudette
Galchenyuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gaudette
Galchenyuk
Last 7: Gaudette 4-3 Galchenyuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
2
Gaudette
Galchenyuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
1
Gaudette
Galchenyuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Galchenyuk
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (343)
48.1% (314)
-8.2%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
39.8% (93)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Galchenyuk shoots left. Gaudette is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Gaudette shoots right. Galchenyuk is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Galchenyuk
Home
39.1% (225)
50.9% (214)
Away
42.5% (146)
40.1% (197)
By Period
Gaudette
Galchenyuk
P1
45.0%
44.8%
P2
42.6%
45.7%
P3
34.6%
46.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
40.4%
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |