Scouting Report
Alex Galchenyuk holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Galchenyuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 45.0% vs Galchenyuk 48.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 78.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 63.8%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 54.4%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Henrique
Galchenyuk
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Henrique
Galchenyuk
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Galchenyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
2
Henrique
Galchenyuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
Galchenyuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Galchenyuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Galchenyuk
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (1,023)
48.0% (654)
-3.5%
Power Play
47.4% (173)
48.3% (87)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (185)
37.5% (8)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Galchenyuk shoots left. Henrique is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Henrique shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Home / Away
Henrique
Galchenyuk
Home
46.9% (680)
50.2% (442)
Away
42.5% (701)
44.6% (307)
By Period
Henrique
Galchenyuk
P1
43.0%
45.2%
P2
46.2%
53.5%
P3
46.2%
46.3%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.7%
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:51 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |