Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.8% vs Ryan 55.2% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Galchenyuk leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 52.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 92.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 84.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Galchenyuk
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Galchenyuk
Ryan
Last 10: Galchenyuk 5-5 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
5
1
Galchenyuk
Ryan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
4
Galchenyuk
Ryan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,379)
56.6% (4,102)
-9.2%
Power Play
43.4% (394)
53.2% (342)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
47.8% (649)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Galchenyuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,024).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Ryan
Home
47.2% (1,504)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
46.2% (1,287)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Ryan
P1
45.3%
55.1%
P2
47.9%
54.7%
P3
46.6%
56.0%
OT
59.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |