Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.6% vs Ryan 57.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 60.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 88.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 70.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Galchenyuk
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Galchenyuk
Ryan
Last 7: Galchenyuk 4-3 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
3
1
Galchenyuk
Ryan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
2
Galchenyuk
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (314)
59.1% (594)
-11.0%
Power Play
39.8% (93)
49.1% (55)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
57.9% (107)
-57.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Galchenyuk is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Ryan
Home
50.9% (214)
57.0% (398)
Away
40.1% (197)
59.5% (358)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Ryan
P1
44.8%
56.2%
P2
45.7%
56.9%
P3
46.3%
61.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |