Alex Galchenyuk vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.8% vs Larkin 52.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 72.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.0%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 57.3%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Last 10: Galchenyuk 6-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
4
1
Galchenyuk
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
5
Galchenyuk
Larkin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
3
Galchenyuk
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,379)
51.7% (9,019)
-4.3%
Power Play
43.4% (394)
58.5% (2,125)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
50.2% (1,122)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,767).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Home
47.2% (1,504)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
46.2% (1,287)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Larkin
P1
45.3%
52.7%
P2
47.9%
53.1%
P3
46.6%
52.1%
OT
59.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |