Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 43.7% vs Larkin 46.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 82.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 56.3%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 65.0%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Last 6: Galchenyuk 1-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
4
Galchenyuk
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Galchenyuk
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (542)
45.5% (391)
-3.1%
Power Play
44.4% (99)
41.4% (29)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (12)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Galchenyuk is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Larkin is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Home
41.1% (331)
47.0% (181)
Away
44.4% (311)
44.2% (251)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Larkin
P1
44.8%
42.7%
P2
42.7%
52.4%
P3
39.6%
41.8%
OT
63.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
42.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |