Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Galchenyuk wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.6% vs Larkin 54.2% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 92.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 78.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Last 5: Galchenyuk 4-1 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
0
Galchenyuk
Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (314)
52.9% (1,228)
-4.8%
Power Play
39.8% (93)
63.1% (214)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
55.2% (145)
-55.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Larkin
Home
50.9% (214)
55.8% (805)
Away
40.1% (197)
53.2% (782)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Larkin
P1
44.8%
55.2%
P2
45.7%
53.3%
P3
46.3%
55.1%
OT
66.7%
51.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |