Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.8% vs Benn 52.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 69.4%
Defensive zone
Benn 82.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 74.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Galchenyuk
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Galchenyuk
Benn
Last 6: Galchenyuk 4-2 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Galchenyuk
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
4
1
Galchenyuk
Benn
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,379)
53.5% (6,450)
-6.1%
Power Play
43.4% (394)
52.5% (2,054)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
49.3% (515)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,767).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Benn
Home
47.2% (1,504)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
46.2% (1,287)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Benn
P1
45.3%
51.9%
P2
47.9%
52.6%
P3
46.6%
54.0%
OT
59.3%
62.4%
Final 5 min
48.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |