Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 48.2% vs Beagle 57.0% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 58.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 92.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 79.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 82.0%
18.0%
82.0%
Galchenyuk
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Galchenyuk
Beagle
Last 5: Galchenyuk 4-1 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Galchenyuk
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
4
0
Galchenyuk
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (654)
58.1% (485)
-10.1%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
84.6% (13)
-36.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
55.4% (139)
-17.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Galchenyuk is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Beagle
Home
50.2% (442)
57.0% (307)
Away
44.6% (307)
59.1% (330)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Beagle
P1
45.2%
59.1%
P2
53.5%
59.8%
P3
46.3%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |