Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 48.2% vs Larsson 51.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 85.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 56.9%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Galchenyuk
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Galchenyuk
Larsson
Last 10: Galchenyuk 5-5 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
7
2
Galchenyuk
Larsson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
8
Galchenyuk
Larsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
6
Galchenyuk
Larsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (654)
51.3% (696)
-3.3%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
56.3% (32)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
41.9% (31)
-4.4%
On power play, Larsson has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Galchenyuk is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Larsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Larsson
Home
50.2% (442)
51.1% (356)
Away
44.6% (307)
51.1% (403)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Larsson
P1
45.2%
54.6%
P2
53.5%
51.9%
P3
46.3%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |