Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 43.7% vs Duchene 61.5% (-19.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 87.3%
Defensive zone
Galchenyuk 50.8%
Neutral zone
Galchenyuk 78.1%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Galchenyuk
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Galchenyuk
Duchene
Last 6: Galchenyuk 1-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Galchenyuk
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Galchenyuk
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (542)
62.2% (802)
-19.8%
Power Play
44.4% (99)
67.3% (153)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
59.4% (143)
-59.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Galchenyuk is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Duchene
Home
41.1% (331)
66.5% (555)
Away
44.4% (311)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Duchene
P1
44.8%
63.2%
P2
42.7%
59.6%
P3
39.6%
65.0%
OT
63.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
47.7%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
42.7%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |