Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.8% vs Roy 48.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Galchenyuk leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 76.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 87.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.2%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Galchenyuk
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Galchenyuk
Roy
Last 10: Galchenyuk 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
4
3
Galchenyuk
Roy
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
1
Galchenyuk
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,379)
48.7% (3,719)
-1.3%
Power Play
43.4% (394)
49.5% (283)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
45.5% (477)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Galchenyuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,024).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Roy
Home
47.2% (1,504)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
46.2% (1,287)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Roy
P1
45.3%
50.8%
P2
47.9%
46.3%
P3
46.6%
48.1%
OT
59.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |