Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Galchenyuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Galchenyuk wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 46.6% vs Roy 51.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 64.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 79.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 58.6%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Galchenyuk
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Galchenyuk
Roy
Last 5: Galchenyuk 3-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
2
1
Galchenyuk
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Galchenyuk
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (314)
55.6% (36)
-7.5%
Power Play
39.8% (93)
0.0% (1)
+39.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Galchenyuk is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Roy is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Roy
Home
50.9% (214)
66.7% (18)
Away
40.1% (197)
42.9% (21)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Roy
P1
44.8%
42.9%
P2
45.7%
50.0%
P3
46.3%
72.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |